FORECASTING IC DESIGN INDUSTRIAL CLUSTERING FROM TAIWAN TO MAINLAND OF CHINA USING FOUR-DIMENSIONAL COMPETITIVE LOTKA-VOLTERRA EQUATIONS

Bi Huei Tsai*

*此作品的通信作者

研究成果: Article同行評審

摘要

This investigation is the first to use four-dimensional Lotka-Volterra equations, to elucidate the clustering process of integrated circuit (IC) design firms from Taiwan to Mainland of China. Our four-dimensional Latke-Volterra equations express not only the word-of-mouth effect but also the impact of Chinese balanced regional policies in location selections. This study further conducts the accuracy analysis of our proposed four-dimensional models and the Bass model in predicting the clustering evolutions from Taiwan to Mainland of China. The parameter results of the Lotka-Volterra equations show that the word-of-mouth effect of the incumbent firms, which have previously undertaken direct investment in Mainland of China at an earlier time, attract successive firms to invest in North, South, and Mid-west China. However, the governmental balanced regional development policies dominate the industrial clustering evolutions of Mid-west China. The increase in operational costs in South China enhances Taiwan’s IC design firms to set up new branches in Mid-west China where Chinese balanced regional development policies provide preferential treatment to foreign enterprises. Because our proposed four-dimensional models consider the regional transformation of industrial clusters caused by the Chinese balanced regional development policies, our proposed models outperform the Bass model in predicting the clustering evolutions from Taiwan’s IC industry into Mainland of China.

原文English
頁(從 - 到)249-261
頁數13
期刊International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information and Control
20
發行號1
DOIs
出版狀態Published - 2月 2024

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