Uncertainty and transparency: Augmenting modelling and prediction for crisis respons

Sung Yueh Perng, Monika Buscher

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

Emergencies are characterised by uncertainty. This motivates the design of information systems that model and predict complex natural, material or human processes to support understanding and reduce uncertainty through prediction. The correspondence between system models and reality, however, is also governed by uncertainties, and designers have developed methods to render 'the world' transparent in ways that can inform, fine-tune and validate models. Additionally, people experience uncertainties in their use of simulation and prediction systems. This is a major obstacle to effective utilisation. We discuss ethically and socially motivated demands for transparency.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings - 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
EditorsLeysia A. Palen, Tina Comes, Monika Buscher, Amanda Lee Hughes, Leysia A. Palen
PublisherInformation Systems for Crisis Response and Management, ISCRAM
ISBN (Electronic)9788271177881
StatePublished - Nov 2015
Event12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, ISCRAM 2015 - Kristiansand, Norway
Duration: 24 May 201527 May 2015

Publication series

NameISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings - 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
Volume2015-January

Conference

Conference12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, ISCRAM 2015
Country/TerritoryNorway
CityKristiansand
Period24/05/1527/05/15

Keywords

  • Collaboration
  • Modelling prediction
  • Reasoning
  • Transparency
  • Uncertainty

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