Comparative analysis of hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis on the risk of new onset diabetes mellitus

Background: Diabetes mellitus is a significant risk factor for cardiovascular events and mortality in dialysis patients. The impact of different dialysis modalities on the risk of new onset diabetes mellitus (NODM) remains a subject of debate. Previous studies did not adequately account for critical confounding factors such as pre-dialysis glycemic status, medication use, and nutritional status, which may influence the association between dialysis modality and NODM risk. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 1426 non-diabetic end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients who underwent either hemodialysis (HD) or peritoneal dialysis (PD) at a single medical center. We used different statistical methods, adjusting for potential confounding factors, and accounted for competing risk of death. Results: Over 12 years, 331 patients (23 %) developed NODM. After adjusting for potential confounding factors and mortality, PD patients had a significantly higher risk of NODM compared to HD patients (adjusted HR 1.52, p = 0.001). A propensity-matched cohort sensitivity analysis yielded similar results. Among patients with prediabetes, those receiving PD had a 2.93 times higher risk of developing NODM than those receiving HD (p for interaction <0.001), whereas no significant difference was observed among euglycemic patients. NODM was also associated with a 1.78 times increased risk of major cardiovascular events. Conclusion: Our study provides evidence that PD treatment may increase the risk of NODM in ESRD patients, particularly among those with preexisting prediabetes. These findings highlight the importance of personalized treatment approaches, and nephrologists should consider prediabetes when choosing the dialysis modality for their patients.