A dynamic competition analysis on the personal computer shipments in Taiwan using lotka-volterra model

Su Yun Chiang, Gwo Gauang Wong, Yi-Ming Li*, Hsiao Cheng Yu

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

In this work, we explore the innovative growth of personal computer (PC) shipments in Taiwan. We estimate the marketing diffusion with the consideration of the competition of desktop (DT) and notebook (NB). Mathematically, using the Lotka-Volterra model, we analyze the dynamic competitive relationship between the shipments of DT and NB. All the parameters in the Lotka-Volterra model are calibrated with the realistic shipment data, and the predicted trends to 2010 are thus drawn. Our results clarify a pure competition between DT and NB in PC market. The competitive relationship of dynamic PC shipments in Taiwan is thus examined, including consideration of the interaction between two species to explain the actual diffusion phenomenon in the competitive market. Comparison between well-known growth model, Bass model, and competitive Lotka-Volterra Model is also drawn. In addition, it is shown that the competition between DT and NB would reach an equilibrium point which is stable over time and we further analyze how the deviation returns to the stable equilibrium.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 3rd IEEE Asia-Pacific Services Computing Conference, APSCC 2008
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
Pages1412-1417
Number of pages6
ISBN (Print)9780769534732
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2008
Event3rd IEEE Asia-Pacific Services Computing Conference, APSCC 2008 - Yilan, Taiwan
Duration: 9 Dec 200812 Dec 2008

Publication series

NameProceedings of the 3rd IEEE Asia-Pacific Services Computing Conference, APSCC 2008

Conference

Conference3rd IEEE Asia-Pacific Services Computing Conference, APSCC 2008
Country/TerritoryTaiwan
CityYilan
Period9/12/0812/12/08

Keywords

  • Bass model
  • Competition
  • Diffusion
  • Equilibrium
  • Lotka-volterra model
  • Marketing
  • Personal computers

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'A dynamic competition analysis on the personal computer shipments in Taiwan using lotka-volterra model'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this